Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 222.384865 250.156732 280.878773 317.530986 360.256749 408.716705 468.161397
2025-03-23 181.390522 218.103774 262.241699 319.799920 393.740907 486.729142 614.440662
2025-03-30 155.420097 194.734409 244.529046 313.293815 407.505783 534.656161 723.851419
2025-04-06 138.750739 179.675889 233.741952 312.016912 425.230707 587.611960 847.002739
2025-04-13 121.784279 161.729539 216.242216 298.135207 421.802897 608.156764 923.932728
2025-04-20 115.546070 157.489231 216.693068 309.167654 455.417027 687.992392 1108.903585
2025-04-27 110.815999 154.688675 218.576443 322.075757 493.114008 779.681639 1333.317046
2025-05-04 103.752509 147.678287 213.302860 322.892875 510.837556 840.154627 1513.913085
2025-05-11 95.658003 138.348742 203.488333 315.052162 512.451361 871.828029 1644.733567
2025-05-18 88.937051 130.548104 195.301090 308.869133 515.866917 906.860857 1789.936227
2025-05-25 86.069413 128.515141 196.088780 317.942449 547.974101 1002.102622 2091.013178
2025-06-01 81.564554 123.483615 191.466119 316.883539 560.636815 1060.079543 2320.753711
2025-06-08 76.303412 116.965172 184.021902 310.327813 562.472112 1097.311100 2514.706218
2025-06-15 72.761226 113.057604 180.739660 311.175979 579.446529 1171.145501 2829.438132
2025-06-22 68.449789 107.535836 174.172285 305.031751 580.909753 1209.659924 3058.128887
2025-06-29 65.269312 103.730297 170.339562 303.779908 592.636655 1274.732223 3388.525775
2025-07-06 60.604595 97.055337 160.844650 290.347633 575.710810 1265.990443 3484.377602
2025-07-13 59.650181 96.838113 163.143897 301.024512 614.833745 1408.335071 4138.347556
2025-07-20 58.953360 97.019230 166.173742 313.513174 660.136106 1577.953815 4973.616821
2025-07-27 56.840176 94.487590 163.838789 314.303605 677.235661 1672.749602 5571.497470
2025-08-03 53.895456 90.255674 157.923244 306.718300 672.364613 1702.316122 5915.644370
2025-08-10 51.338892 86.610508 152.927345 300.735666 670.872361 1742.178713 6327.693639
2025-08-17 50.555504 86.248810 154.412497 309.514603 709.398575 1917.008058 7473.299308